Certor

Dortmund – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · May 18, 2024

Dortmund 4–0 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 88% X · 9% 2 · Darmstadt 3%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals3.62 – 0.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.