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Dortmund – Hamburg

Bundesliga · August 29, 2026

Dortmund 2–0 Hamburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 67% X · 20% 2 · Hamburg 13%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.28 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.