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Dortmund – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · January 10, 2025

Dortmund 2–3 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 41% X · 25% 2 · Leverkusen 34%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.81 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.