Dortmund – Mainz
Bundesliga · December 19, 2023
Dortmund
1–1
Mainz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Dortmund 68%
X · 19%
2 · Mainz 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Expected goals | 2.54 – 1.06 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 15, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.