Dortmund – St Pauli
Bundesliga · January 17, 2026
Dortmund
3–2
St Pauli
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Dortmund 69%
X · 22%
2 · St Pauli 9%
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 0.64 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 16, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.