Certor

Dortmund – Stuttgart

Bundesliga · November 22, 2025

Dortmund 3–3 Stuttgart

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 53% X · 23% 2 · Stuttgart 24%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score66%
Expected goals2.09 – 1.35
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.