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Dortmund – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · October 20, 2023

Dortmund 1–0 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 76% X · 15% 2 · Werder Bremen 9%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.97 – 1.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 20, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.