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Dortmund – Wolfsburg

Bundesliga · September 21, 2025

Dortmund 1–0 Wolfsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 61% X · 21% 2 · Wolfsburg 18%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals2.27 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.