Certor

Elche – Celta

La Liga · September 28, 2025

Elche 2–1 Celta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Elche 26% X · 29% 2 · Celta 45%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals0.93 – 1.31
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 26, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.