Certor

Empoli – Atalanta

Serie A · February 23, 2025

Empoli 0–5 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Empoli 17% X · 24% 2 · Atalanta 59%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.92 – 1.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.