Certor

Empoli – Cagliari

Serie A · March 3, 2024

Empoli 0–1 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Empoli 42% X · 28% 2 · Cagliari 30%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.