Certor

Empoli – Lecce

Serie A · December 11, 2023

Empoli 1–1 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Empoli 38% X · 30% 2 · Lecce 32%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 9, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.