Certor

Empoli – Salernitana

Serie A · September 27, 2023

Empoli 1–0 Salernitana

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Empoli 46% X · 27% 2 · Salernitana 27%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.46 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.