Certor

Espanol – Alaves

La Liga · September 14, 2024

Espanol 3–2 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Espanol 43% X · 30% 2 · Alaves 27%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.26 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.