Estoril – Alverca
Primeira Liga · December 27, 2025
Estoril
4–1
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Estoril 52%
X · 23%
2 · Alverca 25%
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.07 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.