Certor

Estoril – Chaves

Primeira Liga · December 10, 2023

Estoril 4–0 Chaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estoril 48% X · 24% 2 · Chaves 28%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.57 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.