Certor

Estoril – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · March 2, 2024

Estoril 1–3 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estoril 35% X · 25% 2 · Guimaraes 40%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 25, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.