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Estoril – Nacional

Primeira Liga · October 26, 2025

Estoril 1–1 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estoril 51% X · 24% 2 · Nacional 25%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.66 – 1.08
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 24, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.