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Estoril – Porto

Primeira Liga · March 30, 2024

Estoril 1–0 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estoril 11% X · 17% 2 · Porto 72%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals0.71 – 2.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.