Certor

Estoril – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · August 11, 2024

Estoril 1–4 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estoril 46% X · 25% 2 · Santa Clara 29%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 9, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.