Estrela – Alverca
Primeira Liga · August 25, 2025
Estrela
2–2
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Estrela 53%
X · 26%
2 · Alverca 21%
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 0.77 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 23, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.