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Estrela – Arouca

Primeira Liga · December 28, 2023

Estrela 1–4 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 47% X · 27% 2 · Arouca 26%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.28 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.