Estrela – Arouca
Primeira Liga · December 28, 2023
Estrela
1–4
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Estrela 47%
X · 27%
2 · Arouca 26%
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 0.87 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
December 23, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.