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Estrela – Arouca

Primeira Liga · December 9, 2024

Estrela 2–1 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 34% X · 27% 2 · Arouca 39%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.