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Estrela – Benfica

Primeira Liga · February 2, 2025

Estrela 2–3 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 9% X · 15% 2 · Benfica 76%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals0.63 – 2.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 2, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.