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Estrela – Estoril

Primeira Liga · January 5, 2025

Estrela 2–4 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 38% X · 27% 2 · Estoril 35%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.21 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.