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Estrela – Estoril

Primeira Liga · January 19, 2026

Estrela 0–5 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 35% X · 25% 2 · Estoril 40%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.24 – 1.37
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.