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Estrela – Farense

Primeira Liga · April 13, 2025

Estrela 0–1 Farense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 37% X · 29% 2 · Farense 34%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.