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Estrela – Gil Vicente

Primeira Liga · March 8, 2026

Estrela 2–2 Gil Vicente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 29% X · 28% 2 · Gil Vicente 43%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.