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Estrela – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · September 28, 2024

Estrela 2–1 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 32% X · 29% 2 · Moreirense 39%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals0.98 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.