Estrela – Nacional
Primeira Liga · November 9, 2025
Estrela
1–1
Nacional
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Estrela 39%
X · 29%
2 · Nacional 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Expected goals | 1.14 – 1.01 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
November 7, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.