Certor

Estrela – Portimonense

Primeira Liga · February 9, 2024

Estrela 3–0 Portimonense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 44% X · 26% 2 · Portimonense 30%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 4, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.