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Estrela – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · October 25, 2025

Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Estrela 30% X · 29% 2 · Rio Ave 41%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals0.92 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 24, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.