Estrela – Tondela
Primeira Liga · February 20, 2026
Estrela
0–2
Tondela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Estrela 43%
X · 27%
2 · Tondela 30%
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.02 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 15, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.