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Everton – Arsenal

Premier League · September 17, 2023

Everton 0–1 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Everton 22% X · 22% 2 · Arsenal 56%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.