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Everton – Aston Villa

Premier League · January 15, 2025

Everton 0–1 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Everton 30% X · 29% 2 · Aston Villa 41%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.09 – 1.31
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.