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Everton – Aston Villa

Premier League · September 13, 2025

Everton 0–0 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Everton 34% X · 28% 2 · Aston Villa 38%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.16 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.