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Everton – Crystal Palace

Premier League · October 5, 2025

Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Everton 31% X · 30% 2 · Crystal Palace 39%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.