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Everton – Man United

Premier League · September 6, 2026

Everton 2–2 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Everton 32% X · 27% 2 · Man United 41%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.28 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.