Everton – Newcastle
Premier League · November 29, 2025
Everton
1–4
Newcastle
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Everton 33%
X · 28%
2 · Newcastle 39%
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 1.28 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
November 29, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.