Excelsior – Ajax
Eredivisie · February 1, 2026
Excelsior
2–2
Ajax
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Excelsior 16%
X · 20%
2 · Ajax 64%
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 2.19 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 31, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.