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Excelsior – Groningen

Eredivisie · October 11, 2026

Excelsior 1–5 Groningen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Excelsior 41% X · 27% 2 · Groningen 32%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.52 – 1.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.