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Excelsior – Heerenveen

Eredivisie · March 7, 2026

Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Excelsior 35% X · 26% 2 · Heerenveen 39%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.