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Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie · August 15, 2026

Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Excelsior 14% X · 17% 2 · PSV Eindhoven 69%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals1.26 – 2.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.