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Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · September 14, 2025

Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Excelsior 27% X · 26% 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 47%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.