Certor

Excelsior – Volendam

Eredivisie · May 10, 2026

Excelsior 1–1 Volendam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Excelsior 52% X · 26% 2 · Volendam 22%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.70 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.