Famalicao – Alverca
Primeira Liga · October 12, 2026
Famalicao
1–4
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Famalicao 53%
X · 25%
2 · Alverca 22%
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 0.87 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 12, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.