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Famalicao – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · May 16, 2025

Famalicao 2–1 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Famalicao 47% X · 26% 2 · Casa Pia 27%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.38 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.