Certor

Famalicao – Maritimo

Primeira Liga · August 16, 2026

Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Famalicao 54% X · 25% 2 · Maritimo 21%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.49 – 0.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.