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Famalicao – Nacional

Primeira Liga · March 21, 2026

Famalicao 1–0 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Famalicao 55% X · 24% 2 · Nacional 21%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.59 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.