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Farense – Benfica

Primeira Liga · April 22, 2024

Farense 1–3 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Farense 13% X · 19% 2 · Benfica 68%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.79 – 2.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.